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11/05/2009 Commercial property recovery 'to be tiered' |
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There will be two distinct sectors in the commercial property market in the next couple of years as the country emerges from recession, it has been predicted.
Property economist at Capital Economics Ed Stansfield said he agreed with the notion that there will be a "two-tier" market appearing soon, "where the prime properties stabilise and may even begin to rise in price again, but the rest continue to languish unloved in the background."
Such a situation may mean it is some of the more attractive commercial properties in fashionable areas such as Westminster that get more attention.
Mr Stansfield acknowledged that overall sentiment among investors is improving, noting the findings of the CB Richard Ellis report showing that the fall in commercial property prices is slowing.
April saw a 2.1 per cent decline in prices, compared with 2.7 per cent in March.
Michael Franks, Partner in the Commercial Property Department of Westminster solictors, William Sturges & Co said, "one of the crucial factors is whether tenants pay their rents. With better quality properties the payment of the March quarter's rent has been good which helps properties maintain their value. In poorer quality properties payment of the March quarter's rent has been patchy which reduces the value of the property".
This month's CBI/GVA Grimley corporate real estate survey also contained some potentially positive news, finding that the negative balance between the number of firms taking up more office space and those reducing it fell from 24 per cent to 17 per cent in May.
Written by Anna Norton
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